@Article{MonteiroBrPrMoSoLiLo:2020:EvImFu,
               author = "Monteiro, Lara M. and Brum, Fernanda Thiesen and Pressey, Robert 
                         L. and Morellato, Leonor Patricia C. and Soares Filho, Britaldo 
                         and Lima Ribeiro, Matheus S. and Loyola, Rafael",
          affiliation = "{Universidade Federal de Goi{\'a}s (UFG)} and {Universidade 
                         Federal de Goi{\'a}s (UFG)} and {James Cook University} and 
                         {Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)} and {Universidade Federal 
                         de Minas Gerais (UFMG)} and {Universidade Federal de Goi{\'a}s 
                         (UFG)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Evaluating the impact of future actions in minimizing vegetation 
                         loss from land conversion in the Brazilian Cerrado under climate 
                         change",
              journal = "Biodiversity and Conservation",
                 year = "2020",
               volume = "29",
               number = "5",
                pages = "1701--1722",
                month = "apr.",
                 note = "{Pr{\^e}mio CAPES Elsevier 2023 - ODS 15: Vida terrestre}",
             keywords = "Dynamic site selection · Impact evaluation · Land conversion · 
                         Protected areas · Spatial Conservation Prioritization · Threatened 
                         plants.",
             abstract = "The global network of protected areas (PAs) is systematically 
                         biased towards remote and unproductive places. Consequently, the 
                         processes threatening biodiversity are not halted and conservation 
                         impactdefned as the benefcial environmental outcomes arising from 
                         protection relative to the counterfactual of no interventionis 
                         smaller than previously thought. Yet, many conservation plans 
                         still target species representation, which can fail to lead to 
                         impact by not considering the threats they face, such as land 
                         conversion and climate change. Here we aimed to identify spatial 
                         conservation priorities that minimize the risk of land conversion, 
                         while retaining sites with high value for threatened plants at 
                         risk from climate change in the Brazilian Cerrado. We compared a 
                         method of sequential implementation of conservation actions to a 
                         static strategy applied at one time-step. For both schedules of 
                         conservation actions, we applied two methods for setting 
                         priorities: (i) minimizing expected habitat conversion and 
                         prioritizing valuable sites for threatened plants (therefore 
                         maximizing conservation impact), and (ii) prioritizing sites based 
                         only on their value for threatened plants, regardless of their 
                         vulnerability to land conversion (therefore maximizing 
                         representation). We found that scenarios aimed at maximizing 
                         conservation impact reduced total vegetation loss, while still 
                         covering large proportions of species ranges inside PAs and 
                         priority sites. Given that planning to avoid vegetation loss 
                         provided these benefts, vegetation information could represent a 
                         reliable surrogate for overall biodiversity. Besides allowing for 
                         the achievement of two distinct goals (representation and impact), 
                         the impact strategies also present great potential for 
                         implementation, especially under current conservation policies.",
                  doi = "10.1007/s10531-018-1627-6",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10531-018-1627-6",
                 issn = "0960-3115",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "monteiro_evaluating.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}